Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 1-3 (5.23%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.