Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.