Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.51% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%) , while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.