Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 3-1 (5.88%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.