Club Friendlies 3
Utrecht
Jun 27, 2026 10.00am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadion Galgenwaard
De Graafschap
  • David Min 4' goal
  • goal Fedde de Jong 3'
  • goal Fedde de Jong 41'

FC Utrecht vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

De Graafschap

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

FC Utrecht 43.72% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 23.23%
De Graafschap 33.05% ▲ (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.54% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 17.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 62.52% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 37.48% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 39.82% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 60.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 23.96% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 76.04% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

FC Utrecht 38.06% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 35.54% ▼ (-0.17)
De Graafschap 26.4% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

FC Utrecht 52.97% ▼ (-0.29)
No Goal 4.17% ▲ (+0.04)
De Graafschap 42.86% ▲ (+0.26)

Corners

Over 8 66.86% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 8 10.37%
Under 8 22.77% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 9 55.49% ▲ (+0.21)
Equal 9 11.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 33.14% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 10.5 44.08% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 55.92% ▼ (-0.18)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 1.5 48.48% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 51.52% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 23.29% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 76.71% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 9.27% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 90.73% ▲ (+0.11)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 70.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 29.36% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 39.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 60.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 17.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.27%
Under 3.5 93.73%

Score analysis

FC Utrecht 43.73%
Draw 23.22%
De Graafschap 33.04%
FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 43.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.22%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 33.04%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 22
De Graafschap
Feb 17, 2019 3.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)
Utrecht
  • Azor Matusiwa 75' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Gustafson 76'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Utrecht
Nov 25, 2018 1.30pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)
De Graafschap
  • Sander van de Streek 14' goal
  • Willem Janssen 17' goal
  • Gyrano Kerk 24' goal
  • Nick Venema 80' goal
  • Nick Venema 89' goal
  • yellowcard Lars Nieuwpoort 23'
  • yellowcard Delano Burgzorg 85'
Eredivisie
Utrecht
Apr 20, 2016 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
De Graafschap
  • Sebastien Haller 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ted van de Pavert 30'
  • goal Vincent Vermeij 38'
  • goal Vincent Vermeij 59'
Eredivisie
De Graafschap
Dec 5, 2015 6.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Utrecht
  • Jeroen Tesselaar 30' yellowcard
  • Nathan Kabasele 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Kum 9'
  • goal Rico Strieder 34'
  • yellowcard Mark van der Maarel 65'
  • redcard Mark van der Maarel 67'

Form Data

Ajax 1 - 1 Utrecht
Utrecht 3 - 2 Heerenveen
Utrecht 2 - 0 Sittard
Ajax 1 - 2 Utrecht
Utrecht 2 - 0 NAC Breda
Excelsior 5 - 0 Utrecht
De Graafschap 2 - 2 Almere City
Almere City 3 - 1 De Graafschap
Emmen 1 - 0 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 3 - 1 Cambuur
VVV-Venlo 3 - 3 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 5 - 0 Jong AZ