Club Friendlies 3
NAC Breda
Jul 18, 2026 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Excelsior
  • Pepijn Reulen 41' goal
  • goal Irakli Yegoian 22'
  • goal Nesto Groen 33'
  • goal 88'

NAC Breda vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 6.00pm
HSV Hoek 1 - 2 NAC Breda

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 10.00am
La Louviere 3 - 1 Excelsior

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 54.59%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

NAC Breda 54.59% ▲ (+0.38)
Draw 22.69% ▲ (+0.04)
SBV Excelsior 22.73% ▼ (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.79% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.18% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 21.82% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 2.5 56.35% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 43.65% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 33.37% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 3.5 66.63% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 19.84% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 4.5 80.16% ▲ (+0.24)

First Half Winner

NAC Breda 39.63% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 38% ▲ (+0.11)
SBV Excelsior 22.37% ▼ (-0.17)

Team To Score First

NAC Breda 59.76% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 5.99% ▲ (+0.08)
SBV Excelsior 34.25% ▼ (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 68.8% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 8 10.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 8 20.9% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 9 57.29% ▲ (+0.32)
Equal 9 11.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 31.2% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 10.5 45.6% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 10.5 54.4% ▼ (-0.35)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 1.5 52.44% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 47.56% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 26.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 73.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.04%
Under 3.5 89.96%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 60.4% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 0.5 39.6% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 1.5 27.48% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 72.52% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 2.5 8.91% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 91.09% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 2.86% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 97.14% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

NAC Breda 54.58%
Draw 22.7%
SBV Excelsior 22.72%
NAC Breda
2-1 @ 10.59% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 10.03%
Total : 54.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.7%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 22.72%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 22
NAC Breda
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Excelsior
  • Cherrion Valerius 32' yellowcard
  • Amine Salama 55' yellowcard
  • Andre Ayew 73' yellowcard
  • Lewis Holtby 73' yellowcard
  • Clint Leemans 73' yellowcard
  • André Ayew 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jerolldino Armantrading 14'
  • yellowcard Jerolldino Bergraaf 14'
  • goal Emil Hansson 18'
  • goal Irakli Yegoian 31'
  • yellowcard Miliano Jonathans 46'
  • yellowcard Simon Jansson 62'
  • yellowcard Simon Janssen 62'
  • yellowcard Adam Carlen 70'
  • yellowcard Stan Hendrikx 70'
  • yellowcard Adam Carlén 70'
  • yellowcard Stan Henderikx 70'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Excelsior
Nov 29, 2025 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
NAC Breda
  • Casper Widell 6' yellowcard
  • Noah Naujoks 23' goal
  • Irakli Yegoian 65' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Arthur Zagre 81' yellowcard
  • Rick Meissen 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rio Hillen 45'
Club Friendlies 3
NAC Breda
Jul 20, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Excelsior
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 70' goal
  • goal Mike van Duinen 87'
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Excelsior
Jun 2, 2024 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
NAC Breda
  • Troy Parrott 20' goal
  • Troy Parrott 35' goal
  • Boy Kemper 42' goal
  • Troy Parrott 50' goal
  • goal Casper Staring 58'
  • yellowcard Matthew Garbett 63'
  • yellowcard Casper Staring 85'
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
NAC Breda
May 28, 2024 7.00pm
6
2
HT : 3 2
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Excelsior
  • Aime Omgba 12' goal
  • Boyd Lucassen 17' yellowcard
  • Dominik Janosek 39' goal
  • Jan Van den Bergh 42' goal
  • Pepijn van de Merbel 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Casper Staring 52' yellowcard
  • Martin Koscelnik 74' goal
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 78' goal
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 15'
  • goal Lance Duijvestijn 25'
  • redcard Lance Duijvestijn 38'
  • goal Troy Parrott 45'+6'
  • redcard Arthur Zagre 72'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 38
Excelsior
May 6, 2022 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
NAC Breda
  • Thijs Dallinga 45'+1' goal
  • Reuven Niemeijer 48' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 71' yellowcard
  • goal Odysseus Velanas 10'
  • yellowcard Ezechiel Banzuzi 65'
  • yellowcard Odysseus Velanas 71'
  • goal Dion Malone 90'+4'

Form Data

HSV Hoek 1 - 2 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 0 - 2 FC Eindhoven
AZ 3 - 3 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 2 - 0 Heerenveen
Utrecht 2 - 0 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 0 - 2 Ajax
La Louviere 3 - 1 Excelsior
Dordrecht 0 - 2 Excelsior
Excelsior 3 - 2 Cambuur
Sparta 2 - 3 Excelsior
Excelsior 1 - 1 Volendam
Groningen 2 - 3 Excelsior