Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 5.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Euroborg
  • Tika de Jonge 3' goal
  • Younes Taha 47' goal
  • Ryan Metu 56' yellowcard
  • Brynjólfur Willumsson 71' yellowcard
  • Tyrique Mercera 87' yellowcard
  • Mats Seuntjens 87' yellowcard
  • Mats Seuntjens 89' yellowcard
  • goal Casper Widell 40'
  • yellowcard Szymon Wlodarczyk 60'
  • goal Derensili Sanches Fernandes 65'
  • yellowcard Jerolldino Bergraaf 77'
  • yellowcard Adam Carlén 77'
  • yellowcard Ilias Bronkhorst 85'
  • yellowcard Mike van Duinen 88'
  • goal Gyan de Regt 90'

Groningen vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.30pm
Feyenoord 3 - 1 Groningen
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Thom van Bergen

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 11.15am
Excelsior 5 - 0 Utrecht
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Derensili Sanches Fernandes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.13% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

Groningen 50.61% (+0.04)
Draw 25.13%
SBV Excelsior 24.29% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.92% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.4% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.6% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 50.83% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.17% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.68%
Under 3.5 70.32%
Over 4.5 17.15% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 82.85% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Groningen 38.27%
Draw 39.32%
SBV Excelsior 22.41%

Team To Score First

Groningen 54.84%
No Goal 7.46%
SBV Excelsior 37.7%

Corners

Over 8 69.68%
Equal 8 10.18%
Under 8 20.14%
Over 9 58.18%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 30.32%
Over 10.5 46.39%
Under 10.5 53.61%

Groningen Goals

Over 1.5 47.66% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 52.34% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 22.6% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 77.4% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.55% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.45% (-0.01)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 59.54% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 40.46% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 26.77% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 73.23% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 8.99% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.01% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.58% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.42% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Groningen 50.62%
Draw 25.13%
SBV Excelsior 24.28%
Groningen
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 4.6% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.45% (+0.01)
Total : 50.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.46%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.13%
SBV Excelsior
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.48% (-0.02)
Total : 24.28%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
Dec 5, 2025 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rick Meissen 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Stijn Middendorp 70' redcard
  • Do-Young Yun 85' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thijmen Blokzijl 21'
  • yellowcard Marco Rente 58'
  • yellowcard Marco Rente 59'
  • goal Thom van Bergen 61'
  • yellowcard Marco Rente 89'
  • goal Stije Resink 90'+2'
KNVB Beker
Jan 16, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 67'
  • goal Romano Postema 72'
  • goal Romano Postema 78'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 3.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Johan Hove 13' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 50' goal
  • Liam van Gelderen 66' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Redouan El Yaakoubi 69' goal
KNVB Beker
Dec 15, 2021 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
ET Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Reuven Niemeijer 23' goal
  • Julian Baas 69' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 105' yellowcard
  • goal Cyril Ngonge 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Laros Duarte 64'
  • goal Mohamed El Hankouri 85'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 111'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 115'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2019 6.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Noordlease Stadion (Groningen)
  • Paul Gladon 70' goal