Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 5.45pm
Euroborg

Groningen vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.30pm
Feyenoord 3 - 1 Groningen
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Thom van Bergen

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 11.15am
Excelsior 5 - 0 Utrecht
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Groningen win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw has a probability of 25.13% and a win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a SBV Excelsior win it is 0-1 (6.94%).

Result

Groningen 50.61%
Draw 25.13%
SBV Excelsior 24.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.95% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.38% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.62% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.83% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.17% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.68% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.32% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.16% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.84% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Groningen 38.27%
Draw 39.32%
SBV Excelsior 22.41%

Team To Score First

Groningen 54.84%
No Goal 7.46%
SBV Excelsior 37.7%

Corners

Over 8 69.68%
Equal 8 10.18%
Under 8 20.14%
Over 9 58.18%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 30.32%
Over 10.5 46.39%
Under 10.5 53.61%

Groningen Goals

Over 1.5 47.64% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 52.36% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 22.61% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 77.39% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.55% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.45% (-0.01)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 59.56% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 40.44% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 26.78% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.22% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.99% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.01% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.58%
Under 3.5 97.42%

Score analysis

Groningen 50.61%
Draw 25.13%
SBV Excelsior 24.29%
Groningen
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 8.71%
3-1 @ 5.22% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.45% (+0.01)
Total : 50.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.46%
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.13%
SBV Excelsior
0-1 @ 6.94%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 24.29%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
Dec 5, 2025 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rick Meissen 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Stijn Middendorp 70' redcard
  • Do-Young Yun 85' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thijmen Blokzijl 21'
  • yellowcard Marco Rente 58'
  • yellowcard Marco Rente 59'
  • goal Thom van Bergen 61'
  • yellowcard Marco Rente 89'
  • goal Stije Resink 90'+2'
KNVB Beker
Jan 16, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 67'
  • goal Romano Postema 72'
  • goal Romano Postema 78'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 3.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Johan Hove 13' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 50' goal
  • Liam van Gelderen 66' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Redouan El Yaakoubi 69' goal
KNVB Beker
Dec 15, 2021 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
ET Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Reuven Niemeijer 23' goal
  • Julian Baas 69' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 105' yellowcard
  • goal Cyril Ngonge 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Laros Duarte 64'
  • goal Mohamed El Hankouri 85'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 111'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 115'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2019 6.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Noordlease Stadion (Groningen)
  • Paul Gladon 70' goal