Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.