Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 3.30pm
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

SBV Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 7.00pm
Nijmegen 0 - 0 Excelsior
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 5.45pm
Sparta 3 - 3 Utrecht
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Marvin Young

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 33.95% and a draw has a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win is 2-1 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.79%).

Result

SBV Excelsior 33.95% (+0.06)
Draw 24.34%
Sparta Rotterdam 41.74% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.9% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.86% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 19.14% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 59.46% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 40.54% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 37.18% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 62.82% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 22.04% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 77.96% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

SBV Excelsior 31.02% (+0.10)
Draw 38.43% (+0.01)
Sparta Rotterdam 30.55% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

SBV Excelsior 49.2% (+0.07)
No Goal 4.98% (-0.02)
Sparta Rotterdam 45.82% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.65% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.42% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.93% (+0.01)
Over 9 45.12% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 43.35% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 34.42% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 65.58% (+0.02)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 1.5 39.24% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 60.76% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 16.82% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.18% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 5.88% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.12% (-0.02)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 75.7% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.3% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.82% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.18% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.41%
Under 2.5 78.59%
Over 3.5 8.43% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.57% (-0.04)

Score analysis

SBV Excelsior 33.96%
Draw 24.34%
Sparta Rotterdam 41.73%
SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 7.78%
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.61% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.78% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5%
Other @ 5.58% (+0.03)
Total : 33.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.66% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.34%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 4.69% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.05)
Other @ 8.13% (+0.04)
Total : 41.73%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Julian Baas 46' yellowcard
  • Milan Zonneveld 46' yellowcard
  • Milan Zonneveld 47' yellowcard
  • Ayoni Santos 53' goal
  • Patrick van Aanholt 71' yellowcard
  • Jonathan de Guzmán 71' yellowcard
  • Jens Toornstra 79' yellowcard
  • Milan Zonneveld 90'+1' goal
  • goal Giannino Vianello 14' (OG)
  • goal Arthur Zagré 50'
  • goal Noah Naujoks 62'
  • yellowcard Ilias Bronkhorst 64'
  • yellowcard Jerolldino Bergraaf 75'
  • yellowcard Adam Carlén 86'
  • yellowcard Szymon Wlodarczyk 86'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 14, 2025 11.15am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 5.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Arno Verschueren 24' goal
  • Tobias Lauritsen 31' goal
  • Pelle Clement 51' yellowcard
  • Jonathan de Guzman 56' yellowcard
  • Bart Vriends 63' yellowcard
  • Djevencio van der Kust 66' yellowcard
  • Tobias Lauritsen 75' goal
  • Charles-Andreas Brym 90'+6' goal
  • goal Kik Pierie 11'
  • goal Lance Duijvestijn 16'
  • yellowcard Richie Omorowa 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Siebe Horemans 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Redouan El Yaakoubi 2' yellowcard
  • Couhaib Driouech 45' yellowcard
  • Arthur Zagre 73' goal
  • Arthur Zagre 75' yellowcard
  • Troy Parrott 90'+4' goal
  • Troy Parrott 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan de Guzman 59'
  • yellowcard Bart Vriends 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 11.15am
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Couhaib Driouech 45' goal
  • goal Redouan El Yaakoubi 20' (OG)
  • goal Koki Saito 49'
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 56'
  • goal Bart Vriends 60'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joshua Kitolano 90'+1' goal