Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.