/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
-
Casper Widell
54'
-
Jan Plug
88'
-
Ruben van Bommel
5'
-
Ricardo Pepi
56'
SBV Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F08%2Firakli-yegoian-celebrates-a-goal-with-sbv-excelsior-teammates-on-august-7-2026-yannick-verhoeven-hero-images-6a7df375ca3f5244528225.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.36%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result
SBV Excelsior
25.53%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
22.09%
▲
(+0.02)
PSV Eindhoven
52.36%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
57.03%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.6%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
19.4%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
59.58%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
40.42%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
37.73%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
62.27%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
23.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
76.08%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
SBV Excelsior
27.7%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
33.49%
▼
(-0.02)
PSV Eindhoven
38.81%
▲
(+0.09)
Team To Score First
SBV Excelsior
42.59%
▲
(+0.03)
No Goal
5.09%
▼
(-0.03)
PSV Eindhoven
52.32%
Corners
Over 8
63.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Equal 8
11.01%
Under 8
25.77%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 9
51.52%
▲
(+0.03)
Equal 9
11.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
36.78%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 10.5
40.14%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 10.5
59.86%
▼
(-0.03)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 1.5
31.3%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
68.7%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
12.74%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
87.26%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
4.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
95.61%
▼
(-0.02)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
80.62%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
19.38%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
53.38%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
46.62%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
28%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
72%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
11.79%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
88.21%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
SBV Excelsior
25.53%
Draw
22.09%
PSV Eindhoven
52.37%
SBV Excelsior
2-1
@
6.07%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.39%
2-0 @ 3.19%
3-1 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 25.53%
1-0 @ 5.39%
2-0 @ 3.19%
3-1 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 25.53%
Draw
1-1
@
9.62%
2-2 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.09%
2-2 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.09%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2
@
9.13%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.19%
1-3 @ 5.66%
0-3 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.78%
Other @ 11.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 52.37%
0-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.19%
1-3 @ 5.66%
0-3 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.78%
Other @ 11.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 52.37%
Head to Head
-
Paul Wanner
8'
-
Ricardo Pepi
23'
-
Couhaib Driouech
26'
-
Yarek Gasiorowski
33'
-
Ryan Flamingo
39'
-
Dennis Man
69'
-
Esmir Bajraktarevic
75'
-
Noah Fernandez
75'
-
75'
-
Kiliann Sildillia
76'
-
Nicolas Verkooijen
82'
-
Ilias Bronkhorst
45'+1'
-
Lewis Schouten
46'
-
Emil Hansson
61'
-
Arthur Zagre
62'
-
Mike van Duinen
76'
-
76'
-
Johan Bakayoko
29'
-
Armando Obispo
45'+3'
-
Malik Tillman
73'
-
Ricardo Pepi
86'
-
Ismael Saibari
90'+7'
-
Ricardo Pepi
101'
-
Ivan Perisic
110'
-
Noah Naujoks
45'+3'
-
Noah Naujoks
58'
-
Lance Duijvestijn
80'
-
Richie Omorowa
117'
-
Arthur Zagre
118'