Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Aug 15, 2026 7.00pm
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

SBV Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.00pm
Cambuur 0 - 4 Excelsior

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 7.00pm
PSV 2 - 2 Sittard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 25.56% and a draw has a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win is 2-1 (6.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.62%).

Result

SBV Excelsior 25.56% (+0.10)
Draw 22.08% (-0.02)
PSV Eindhoven 52.33% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.99% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.56% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 19.44% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 59.56% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 40.44% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 37.7% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 62.3% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 23.89% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.11% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

SBV Excelsior 27.75%
Draw 33.48% (-0.07)
PSV Eindhoven 38.77% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

SBV Excelsior 42.51% (-0.08)
No Goal 5.1% (-0.03)
PSV Eindhoven 52.39% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 63.2% (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.01% (+0.07)
Under 8 25.8% (+0.04)
Over 9 51.5% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.05)
Under 9 36.8% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 40.13% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 59.87% (+0.19)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 1.5 31.29% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 68.71% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.74% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.26% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.39% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.61% (-0.02)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 80.56% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.44% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 53.32% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 46.68% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 27.96% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 72.04% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 11.76% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 88.24% (+0.04)

Score analysis

SBV Excelsior 25.56%
Draw 22.08%
PSV Eindhoven 52.32%
SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 6.08% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 5.4%
2-0 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 4.18% (+0.02)
Total : 25.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.62% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.51%
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.02)
Total : 22.08%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.19% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.66% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 5.13% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.77%
Other @ 11.55% (-0.02)
Total : 52.32%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 10, 2026 7.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT Philips Stadion
  • Paul Wanner 8' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 23' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 26' yellowcard
  • Yarek Gasiorowski 33' goal
  • Ryan Flamingo 39' goal
  • Dennis Man 69' goal
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 75' yellowcard
  • Noah Fernandez 75' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Kiliann Sildillia 76' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Verkooijen 82' yellowcard
  • goal Ilias Bronkhorst 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lewis Schouten 46'
  • yellowcard Emil Hansson 61'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 62'
  • yellowcard Mike van Duinen 76'
  • yellowcard 76'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 27, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
KNVB Beker
Jan 14, 2025 8.00pm
5
4
HT : 1 1
FT Philips Stadion
  • Johan Bakayoko 29' goal
  • Armando Obispo 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 73' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 86' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 90'+7' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 101' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 110' goal
  • goal Noah Naujoks 45'+3'
  • goal Noah Naujoks 58'
  • goal Lance Duijvestijn 80'
  • goal Richie Omorowa 117'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 118'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Julian Baas 22' yellowcard
  • goal Mauro Junior 58'
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 62'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Luuk de Jong 13' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 17' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 69' goal
  • goal Derensili Sanches Fernandes 82'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luuk de Jong 12' goal
  • Xavi Simons 78' goal
  • Fabio Silva 82' goal
  • Erick Gutierrez 87' goal