Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Sep 6, 2026 1.30pm
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 1.30pm
Willem II 2 - 2 Heerenveen
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 5.45pm
AZ 5 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Ro-Zangelo Daal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Heerenveen has a probability of 30.31% and a draw has a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Heerenveen win is 2-1 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.4%).

Result

Heerenveen 30.31% (-0.09)
Draw 21.87% (-0.06)
AZ Alkmaar 47.79% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.9% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.42% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 15.58% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 65.07% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 34.93% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 42.18% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 57.82% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 26.59% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 73.41% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Heerenveen 25.38% (+0.02)
Draw 36.59% (-0.09)
AZ Alkmaar 38.03% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Heerenveen 42.84% (-0.11)
No Goal 3.65% (-0.02)
AZ Alkmaar 53.51% (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 64.48% (+0.21)
Equal 8 10.4% (-0.02)
Under 8 25.12% (-0.18)
Over 9 53.31% (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 35.52% (-0.20)
Over 10.5 42.28% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 57.72% (-0.18)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 1.5 38.44% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 61.56% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 16.47% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 83.53% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.08% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.92% (+0.04)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 79.86% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.14% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 52.93% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 47.07% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 27.57% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 72.43% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.37% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 88.63% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Heerenveen 30.3%
Draw 21.88%
AZ Alkmaar 47.79%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 7.26% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.09% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.7% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89%
Other @ 5.78% (-0.02)
Total : 30.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.3% (-0.02)
Total : 21.88%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 9.39% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 6.81% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.53% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.4% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.35% (+0.05)
Other @ 11.07% (-0.02)
Total : 47.79%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 12, 2026 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Sven Mijnans 7' goal
  • Sven Mijnans 8' goal
  • Kasper Boogaard 46' yellowcard
  • Troy Parrott 71' goal
  • Weslley Patati 75' yellowcard
  • Mateo Chávez 75' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 83' yellowcard
  • Matej Sin 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Vente 45'
  • yellowcard Dylan Vente 46'
  • yellowcard Mats Egbring 76'
  • yellowcard Luuk Brouwers 76'
  • yellowcard Ringo Meerveld 76'
  • yellowcard Luca Oyen 80'
  • yellowcard Hristiyan Petrov 80'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 23, 2025 11.15am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie
May 22, 2025 5.45pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Mexx Meerdink 3' goal
  • Peer Koopmeiners 18' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 21' goal
  • Mexx Meerdink 45' goal
  • Alexandre Penetra 66' goal
  • goal Ion Nicolaescu 74'
  • yellowcard Mats Kohlert 76'
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 11.15am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Milos Lukovic 5' goal
  • Ilias Sebaoui 57' goal
  • Jordy de Wijs 81' yellowcard
  • Marcus Linday 90'+4' goal
  • Andries Noppert 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kristijan Belic 34'
  • goal Zico Buurmeester 76'
  • yellowcard Kees Smit 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Wouter Goes 90'+6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
9
1
HT : 2 1
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Sven Mijnans 4' goal
  • Troy Parrott 23' goal
  • Troy Parrott 48' goal
  • Troy Parrott 50' goal
  • Troy Parrott 56' goal
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 72' goal
  • Mexx Meerdink 75' goal
  • Kristijan Belic 82' goal
  • Zico Buurmeester 85' goal
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 19'
  • yellowcard Daniel Karlsbakk 80'
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 11.15am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 8' yellowcard
  • Jordy Clasie 24' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 51' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 80' yellowcard
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 20'
  • yellowcard Dani de Wit 23'
  • yellowcard Sven Mijnans 33'
  • redcard Denso Kasius 40'
  • goal Pawel Bochniewicz 88' (OG)