Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Heerenveen
Sep 6, 2026 1.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
AZ
  • Nolhan Courtens 21' goal
  • Nolhan Courtens 28' yellowcard
  • Ringo Meerveld 30' goal
  • goal Ro-Zangelo Daal 7'
  • yellowcard Ro-Zangelo Daal 54'
  • goal Mexx Meerdink 69'
  • goal Ayoub Oufkir 83'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Oufkir 90'+1'

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 1.30pm
Willem II 2 - 2 Heerenveen
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 5.45pm
AZ 5 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Ro-Zangelo Daal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.77%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Heerenveen 30.4% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 21.93% ▲ (+0.08)
AZ Alkmaar 47.64% ▼ (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.37% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.52% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 15.48% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 65.5% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 34.5% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 42.94% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 57.06% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 27.33% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 72.67% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Heerenveen 25.89%
Draw 35.4%
AZ Alkmaar 38.71%

Team To Score First

Heerenveen 40.06% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 3.63% ▲ (+0.05)
AZ Alkmaar 56.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.92%
Equal 8 10.31%
Under 8 23.77%
Over 9 54.72%
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 34.08%
Over 10.5 43.56%
Under 10.5 56.44%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 1.5 38.88% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 61.12% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 16.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.67% ▼ (-0.02)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 79.88% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 20.12% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 53.09% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 46.91% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 27.86% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 72.14% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 11.78% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 88.22% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Heerenveen 30.4%
Draw 21.92%
AZ Alkmaar 47.64%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.67%
0-0 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.92%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 11.39% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 47.64%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 30
AZ
Apr 12, 2026 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Sven Mijnans 7' goal
  • Sven Mijnans 8' goal
  • Kasper Boogaard 46' yellowcard
  • Troy Parrott 71' goal
  • Weslley Patati 75' yellowcard
  • Mateo Chávez 75' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 83' yellowcard
  • Matej Sin 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Vente 45'
  • yellowcard Dylan Vente 46'
  • yellowcard Mats Egbring 76'
  • yellowcard Luuk Brouwers 76'
  • yellowcard Ringo Meerveld 76'
  • yellowcard Luca Oyen 80'
  • yellowcard Hristiyan Petrov 80'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Heerenveen
Nov 23, 2025 11.15am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
AZ
Eredivisie
AZ
May 22, 2025 5.45pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT AFAS Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Mexx Meerdink 3' goal
  • Peer Koopmeiners 18' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 21' goal
  • Mexx Meerdink 45' goal
  • Alexandre Penetra 66' goal
  • goal Ion Nicolaescu 74'
  • yellowcard Mats Kohlert 76'
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Heerenveen
Mar 2, 2025 11.15am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
AZ
  • Milos Lukovic 5' goal
  • Ilias Sebaoui 57' goal
  • Jordy de Wijs 81' yellowcard
  • Marcus Linday 90'+4' goal
  • Andries Noppert 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kristijan Belic 34'
  • goal Zico Buurmeester 76'
  • yellowcard Kees Smit 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Wouter Goes 90'+6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 5
AZ
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
9
1
HT : 2 1
FT AFAS Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Sven Mijnans 4' goal
  • Troy Parrott 23' goal
  • Troy Parrott 48' goal
  • Troy Parrott 50' goal
  • Troy Parrott 56' goal
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 72' goal
  • Mexx Meerdink 75' goal
  • Kristijan Belic 82' goal
  • Zico Buurmeester 85' goal
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 19'
  • yellowcard Daniel Karlsbakk 80'
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Heerenveen
Jan 28, 2024 11.15am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
AZ
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 8' yellowcard
  • Jordy Clasie 24' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 51' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 80' yellowcard
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 20'
  • yellowcard Dani de Wit 23'
  • yellowcard Sven Mijnans 33'
  • redcard Denso Kasius 40'
  • goal Pawel Bochniewicz 88' (OG)

Form Data

Willem II 2 - 2 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 0 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Ajax 2 - 2 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 1 - 0 FC Twente
Heerenveen 0 - 0 Wolves
Heerenveen 3 - 2 Volos
AZ 5 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sittard 0 - 2 AZ
Utrecht 1 - 4 AZ
AZ 2 - 0 ADO Den Haag
PSV 0 - 4 AZ
AZ 3 - 2 Olympiacos