Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2026 2.00pm
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 4.30pm
Man Utd 0 - 1 Man City
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 8.00pm
Sunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Nilson Angulo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw has a probability of 17.89% and a win for Sunderland has a probability of 11.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.67%) , while for a Sunderland win it is 0-1 (3.76%).

Result

Manchester City 70.93% (+0.35)
Draw 17.89% (-0.72)
Sunderland 11.18% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.28% (+2.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.81% (+2.11)
Under 1.5 20.19% (-2.11)
Over 2.5 57.95% (+2.74)
Under 2.5 42.05% (-2.74)
Over 3.5 34.92% (+1.97)
Under 3.5 65.08% (-1.97)
Over 4.5 24.15% (+2.33)
Under 4.5 75.85% (-2.34)

First Half Winner

Manchester City 56.38% (+1.08)
Draw 32.19% (+0.21)
Sunderland 11.43% (-1.27)

Team To Score First

Manchester City 72.78% (+3.16)
No Goal 5.04% (-0.75)
Sunderland 22.18% (-2.40)

Corners

Over 8 61.88% (-3.61)
Equal 8 10.65% (-0.08)
Under 8 27.46% (+3.68)
Over 9 50.7% (-3.16)
Equal 9 11.19% (-0.45)
Under 9 38.12% (+3.61)
Over 10.5 39.88% (-2.47)
Under 10.5 60.12% (+2.47)

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 64.4% (+1.58)
Under 1.5 35.6% (-1.58)
Over 2.5 38.45% (+2.67)
Under 2.5 61.55% (-2.66)
Over 3.5 19.63% (+2.76)
Under 3.5 80.37% (-2.76)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 43.26% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 56.74% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 14.49% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 85.51% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 2.88% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 97.12% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 0.49% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 99.51% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Manchester City 70.94%
Draw 17.9%
Sunderland 11.18%
Manchester City
2-0 @ 11.7% (-0.83)
1-0 @ 11.41% (-1.28)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 8.99% (+0.38)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.30)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.15)
Other @ 19.62% (+2.77)
Total : 70.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.67% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.75)
2-2 @ 3.7% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 17.9%
Sunderland
0-1 @ 3.76% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 3.56% (+0.34)
0-2 @ 1.47% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.48% (-0.18)
Total : 11.18%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 19
Jan 1, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
  • Wilson Isidor 58' yellowcard
  • Romaine Mundle 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodri 46'
  • yellowcard Jérémy Doku 51'
  • yellowcard Josko Gvardiol  57'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 85'
Premier League
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ruben Dias 31' goal
  • Josko Gvardiol 35' goal
  • Josko Gvardiol 37' yellowcard
  • Phil Foden 65' goal
  • redcard Luke O'Nien 90'+5'
Premier League
Mar 5, 2017 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • John O'Shea 31' yellowcard
  • goal Sergio Aguero 42'
  • goal Leroy Sane 59'
Premier League
Aug 13, 2016 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sergio Aguero 4' goal
  • Paddy McNair 87' goal
  • Aleksandar Kolarov 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lynden Gooch 42'
  • yellowcard Donald Love 67'
  • goal Jermain Defoe 71'
Premier League
Feb 2, 2016 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Billy Jones 59' yellowcard
  • goal Sergio Aguero 16'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 80'
  • yellowcard Sergio Aguero 91'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 94'
  • yellowcard Bacary Sagna 95'
Premier League
Dec 26, 2015 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Raheem Sterling 4' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 12' goal
  • Yaya Toure 17' goal
  • Wilfried Bony 22' goal
  • Kevin de Bruyne 54' goal
  • yellowcard Billy Jones 36'
  • goal Fabio Borini 59'