Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Do Dragão

Porto vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Manchester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Manchester City has a probability of 31.46% and a draw has a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Manchester City win is 1-2 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.16%).

Result

Porto 45.52% (+1.35)
Draw 22.98% (-0.29)
Manchester City 31.46% (-1.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.94% (+0.76)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.03% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 21.97% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 55.25% (+0.96)
Under 2.5 44.75% (-0.96)
Over 3.5 31.85% (+1.13)
Under 3.5 68.15% (-1.11)
Over 4.5 18.87% (+0.75)
Under 4.5 81.13% (-0.75)

First Half Winner

Porto 34.77% (+1.80)
Draw 39.75% (+0.33)
Manchester City 25.48% (-2.13)

Team To Score First

Porto 61.54% (+2.15)
No Goal 5.62% (-0.42)
Manchester City 32.84% (-1.72)

Corners

Over 8 51.94% (+0.51)
Equal 8 11.41% (-0.04)
Under 8 36.65% (-0.49)
Over 9 40.83% (+0.51)
Equal 9 11.11% (+0.01)
Under 9 48.06% (-0.51)
Over 10.5 30.85% (+0.47)
Under 10.5 69.15% (-0.46)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 45.05% (+1.61)
Under 1.5 54.95% (-1.61)
Over 2.5 20.85% (+1.25)
Under 2.5 79.15% (-1.24)
Over 3.5 7.58% (+0.55)
Under 3.5 92.42% (-0.55)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 66.35% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 33.65% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 33.75% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 66.25% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 13.62% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 86.38% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 4.51% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.49% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Porto 45.52%
Draw 22.99%
Manchester City 31.46%
Porto
2-1 @ 9.6% (+0.20)
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.05% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.72% (+0.32)
3-0 @ 4.23% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.2% (+0.21)
Other @ 7.52% (+0.50)
Total : 45.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 5.03% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.05)
Total : 22.99%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.27)
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.30)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.19)
Other @ 4.45% (-0.09)
Total : 31.46%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dec 1, 2020 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Moussa Marega 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodri 51'
Champions League
Oct 21, 2020 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Sergio Aguero 21' goal
  • Kyle Walker 28' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 34' yellowcard
  • Joao Cancelo 36' yellowcard
  • Ilkay Gundogan 65' goal
  • Eric Garcia 67' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 73' goal
  • Fernandinho 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Diaz 14'
  • yellowcard Pepe 84'