Primeira Liga
Aug 9, 2026 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • André Silva 9' goal
  • Gabri Veiga 44' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira 8'
  • yellowcard Nabil Touaizi 43'
  • yellowcard Yaya Bojang 52'
  • yellowcard Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 89'

Porto vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 3.30pm
Porto 1 - 0 Santa Clara

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 8.30pm
Famalicao 1 - 0 Alverca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.85% and a win for Alverca had a probability of 9.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.48%) and 3-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.53%) , while for a Alverca win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood.

Result

Porto 69.23% (-0.01)
Draw 20.85% (+0.02)
Alverca 9.91% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.68% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.34% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 31.66% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 42.92% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 57.08% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 23.36% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 76.67% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.17% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.83% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Porto 49.9% (+0.02)
Draw 37.99%
Alverca 12.12% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Porto 69.59% (+0.03)
No Goal 9.53% (+0.02)
Alverca 20.88% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 56.19% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.63% (+0.02)
Under 8 32.18% (-0.04)
Over 9 44.49% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.81% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 33.7% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 66.3% (-0.02)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 54.78% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 45.22% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 27.95% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 72.05% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 11.76% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.24% (+0.01)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 36.64% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 63.36% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 10.27% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 89.73% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 2.27%
Under 2.5 97.73%
Over 3.5 0.51%
Under 3.5 99.49%

Score analysis

Porto 69.22%
Draw 20.86%
Alverca 9.91%
Porto
1-0 @ 17.81% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 15.48% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.78% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
Other @ 11.75% (-0.01)
Total : 69.22%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.53% (+0.02)
1-1 @ 8.61% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.86%
Alverca
0-1 @ 4.31%
1-2 @ 2.33% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 9.91%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Jan Bednarek 40' goal
  • Alan Varela 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Martim Fernandes 46' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 63' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 74' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 77'
  • yellowcard Marko Milovanović 77'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Kessary 89'
  • yellowcard Diogo Spencer 89'
  • yellowcard Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 90'
  • yellowcard Diogo Spencer 90'
Primeira Liga
Dec 22, 2025 6.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sabit Abdulai 85' yellowcard
  • goal Borja Sainz 29'
  • goal Alan Varela 57'
  • yellowcard Borja Sainz 63'
  • goal Borja Sainz 69'