Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio Do Dragão

Porto vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 3.30pm
Porto 1 - 0 Santa Clara

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 8.30pm
Famalicao 1 - 0 Alverca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 69.24%. A draw has a probability of 20.84% and a win for Alverca has a probability of 9.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15.46%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (9.51%) , while for a Alverca win it is 0-1 (4.31%).

Result

Porto 69.24% (-0.05)
Draw 20.84% (+0.04)
Alverca 9.94% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.74% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.44% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 31.56% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 43.02% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 56.98% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 23.38% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.62% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 15.18% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.82% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Porto 49.88% (-0.08)
Draw 37.99% (+0.06)
Alverca 12.13% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Porto 69.57% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.51% (+0.01)
Alverca 20.92% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 56.16% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.62% (-0.02)
Under 8 32.22% (+0.04)
Over 9 44.47% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.69% (-0.01)
Under 9 43.84% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 33.68% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 66.32% (+0.02)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 54.83% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 45.17% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 27.98%
Under 2.5 72.02%
Over 3.5 11.77% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.23% (+0.03)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 36.76% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 63.24% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 10.31% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 89.69% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 2.27% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 97.73% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 0.51%
Under 3.5 99.49%

Score analysis

Porto 69.25%
Draw 20.85%
Alverca 9.94%
Porto
1-0 @ 17.78% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 15.46% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 8.77% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.35% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.17% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.96% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.76% (-0.02)
Total : 69.25%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.51% (+0.01)
1-1 @ 8.62% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.85%
Alverca
0-1 @ 4.31% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.36% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 9.94%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Jan Bednarek 40' goal
  • Alan Varela 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Martim Fernandes 46' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 63' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 74' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 77'
  • yellowcard Marko Milovanović 77'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Kessary 89'
  • yellowcard Diogo Spencer 89'
  • yellowcard Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 90'
  • yellowcard Diogo Spencer 90'
Primeira Liga
Dec 22, 2025 6.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sabit Abdulai 85' yellowcard
  • goal Borja Sainz 29'
  • goal Alan Varela 57'
  • yellowcard Borja Sainz 63'
  • goal Borja Sainz 69'