Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2026 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Gabri Veiga 67' goal
  • In-beom Hwang 83' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 86' goal

Porto vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
Rio Ave 0 - 2 Porto
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Borja Sainz

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 6.00pm
Arouca 4 - 0 Moreirense
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.62% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 12.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%) , while for a Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.

Result

Porto 66.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 21.62%
Arouca 12.26% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.69%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.02% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.76%
Under 2.5 53.24%
Over 3.5 25.17%
Under 3.5 74.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.65%
Under 4.5 84.35%

First Half Winner

Porto 44.39%
Draw 43.72%
Arouca 11.9%

Team To Score First

Porto 69.34% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Arouca 22.7%

Corners

Over 8 51.66%
Equal 8 12.06%
Under 8 36.28%
Over 9 39.97%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 48.34%
Over 10.5 29.56%
Under 10.5 70.44%

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 55.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 44.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 72% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.7%
Under 3.5 88.3%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 43.53%
Under 0.5 56.47%
Over 1.5 13.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 86.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 96.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.58%
Under 3.5 99.42%

Score analysis

Porto 66.12%
Draw 21.62%
Arouca 12.26%
Porto
1-0 @ 15.1%
2-0 @ 13.7% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 11.67%
Total : 66.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.96%
0-0 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 21.62%
Arouca
0-1 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.23%
0-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 12.26%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Feb 27, 2026 6.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Oskar Pietuszewski 1' goal
  • Terem Moffi 61' yellowcard
  • William Gomes 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 62' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 76' yellowcard
  • André Alexandre Mendes Miranda 84' yellowcard
  • William Gomes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Terem Moffi 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Boris Popović 46'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandín 66'
  • goal Naïs Djouahra 70'
  • yellowcard Yellu Santiago 78'
  • yellowcard José Silva 78'
  • yellowcard Miguel Puche 85'
Primeira Liga
Sep 29, 2025 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Chico Faria Camara Lamba 16' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Trezza 51' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Omorodion 13'
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 62'
  • goal Fabio Vieira 77'
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Alan Varela 35' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 47' goal
  • Nico Gonzalez 51' goal
  • Galeno 57' goal
  • Deniz Gul 85' goal
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guven Yalcin 32'
  • yellowcard Morlaye Sylla 32'
  • redcard Guven Yalcin 43'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2024 8.15pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Rafa Mujica 1' goal
  • Cristo 30' goal
  • Pedro Santos 39' yellowcard
  • Jason 60' goal
  • Jason 63' yellowcard
  • Oriol Busquets 74' yellowcard
  • goal Evanilson 9'
  • yellowcard Fabio Cardoso 69'
  • goal Francisco Conceicao 86'
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceicao 88'
  • yellowcard Wendell 88'
  • redcard Fabio Cardoso 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Mehdi Taremi 12' goal
  • Fabio Cardoso 26' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 57' yellowcard
  • Alan Varela 58' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 90'+19' goal
  • yellowcard Ignacio De Arruabarrena 63'
  • goal Cristo 84'
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 85'
  • yellowcard D. Ramos 90'+18'