Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio Do Dragão

Porto vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
Rio Ave 0 - 2 Porto

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 6.00pm
Arouca 4 - 0 Moreirense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 66.16%. A draw has a probability of 21.62% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 12.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.73%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.96%) , while for a Arouca win it is 0-1 (4.91%).

Result

Porto 66.16% (-0.02)
Draw 21.62% (+0.02)
Arouca 12.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.69%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.06% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.94% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 46.76% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 53.24% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 25.17%
Under 3.5 74.8% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.65% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.35% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Porto 44.39% (+0.08)
Draw 43.72% (-0.06)
Arouca 11.9%

Team To Score First

Porto 69.35% (-0.07)
No Goal 7.95% (+0.01)
Arouca 22.7% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 51.66% (-0.03)
Equal 8 12.06%
Under 8 36.28% (+0.03)
Over 9 39.97% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 48.34% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 29.56% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 70.44% (+0.01)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 55.49%
Under 1.5 44.51%
Over 2.5 28.01%
Under 2.5 71.99%
Over 3.5 11.7%
Under 3.5 88.3%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 43.53% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 56.47% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 13.23% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 86.77% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 3.02% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 96.98% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.58%
Under 3.5 99.42%

Score analysis

Porto 66.16%
Draw 21.62%
Arouca 12.24%
Porto
1-0 @ 15.1% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 13.73% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 8.04% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-2 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 11.67%
Total : 66.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.96%
0-0 @ 7.95% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 21.62%
Arouca
0-1 @ 4.91% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.23%
0-2 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 12.24%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Feb 27, 2026 6.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Oskar Pietuszewski 1' goal
  • Terem Moffi 61' yellowcard
  • William Gomes 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 62' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 76' yellowcard
  • André Alexandre Mendes Miranda 84' yellowcard
  • William Gomes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Terem Moffi 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Boris Popović 46'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandín 66'
  • goal Naïs Djouahra 70'
  • yellowcard Yellu Santiago 78'
  • yellowcard José Silva 78'
  • yellowcard Miguel Puche 85'
Primeira Liga
Sep 29, 2025 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Chico Faria Camara Lamba 16' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Trezza 51' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Omorodion 13'
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 62'
  • goal Fabio Vieira 77'
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Alan Varela 35' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 47' goal
  • Nico Gonzalez 51' goal
  • Galeno 57' goal
  • Deniz Gul 85' goal
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guven Yalcin 32'
  • yellowcard Morlaye Sylla 32'
  • redcard Guven Yalcin 43'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2024 8.15pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Rafa Mujica 1' goal
  • Cristo 30' goal
  • Pedro Santos 39' yellowcard
  • Jason 60' goal
  • Jason 63' yellowcard
  • Oriol Busquets 74' yellowcard
  • goal Evanilson 9'
  • yellowcard Fabio Cardoso 69'
  • goal Francisco Conceicao 86'
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceicao 88'
  • yellowcard Wendell 88'
  • redcard Fabio Cardoso 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Mehdi Taremi 12' goal
  • Fabio Cardoso 26' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 57' yellowcard
  • Alan Varela 58' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 90'+19' goal
  • yellowcard Ignacio De Arruabarrena 63'
  • goal Cristo 84'
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 85'
  • yellowcard D. Ramos 90'+18'