Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Guimaraes

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
Arouca 3 - 1 Tondela

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Arouca has a probability of 27.28% and a draw has a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Arouca win is 1-2 (6.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.62%).

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 48.26% (-0.07)
Draw 24.43% (-0.02)
Arouca 27.28% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.75%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.92% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.08% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 57.37% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 42.59% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 36.12% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 63.88% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 22.52% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 77.48% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 33.08% (-1.64)
Draw 48.2% (+2.49)
Arouca 18.72% (-0.86)

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.83% (-0.15)
No Goal 6.06% (+0.06)
Arouca 36.11% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 57.82% (-0.47)
Equal 8 11.96% (-0.03)
Under 8 30.22% (+0.50)
Over 9 45.62% (-0.38)
Equal 9 12.2% (-0.11)
Under 9 42.18% (+0.47)
Over 10.5 34.27% (-0.24)
Under 10.5 65.73% (+0.25)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 49.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.61% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 24.26% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 75.74% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.13% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 89.87% (-0.07)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 63.59% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.41% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 32.75% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 67.25% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 13.7% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 86.3% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 5.02% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 94.98% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 48.27%
Draw 24.42%
Arouca 27.28%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.47% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.74% (+0.05)
Total : 48.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 6.06% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.39% (+0.03)
Total : 24.42%
Arouca
1-2 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.74% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.82% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.63% (+0.05)
Total : 27.28%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Alfonso Trezza 45'+1' goal
  • Barbero 56' goal
  • Iván Barbero 56' goal
  • Hyun-ju Lee 74' goal
  • Dylan Nandin 78' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nandín 78' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gozalbez 84' yellowcard
  • Brian Mansilla 84' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gozálbez 84' yellowcard
  • Miguel Puche 89' yellowcard
  • Yellu Santiago 89' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Jose Saviolo 26'
  • goal Oumar Camara 30'
  • yellowcard Matija Mitrovic 46'
  • yellowcard Gustavo 66'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Silva 66'
  • yellowcard Telmo Arcanjo 78'
  • yellowcard Fabio Blanco Gomez 78'
  • yellowcard Fabio Blanco 78'
  • yellowcard Orest Lebedenko 86'
Primeira Liga
Aug 30, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Dieu-Merci Ndembo-Michel 20' goal
  • Nuno Santos 40' goal
  • Kaio Cesar 45' yellowcard
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 56'
  • goal Chico Faria Camara Lamba 72'
  • yellowcard Weverson 80'
  • yellowcard Nico Mantl 85'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2024 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Weverson 22' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Trezza 43' yellowcard
  • Matias Rocha 47' yellowcard
  • David Simao 62' yellowcard
  • Henrique Araujo 75' yellowcard
  • Jason 76' yellowcard
  • Matias Rocha 81' redcard
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 14'
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 48'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 76'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 3.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Cristo 39' goal
  • Eboue Kouassi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • David Simao 64' yellowcard
  • Toni Borevkovic 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 33'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 45'+3'
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 50'
  • goal Thiago 53' (OG)
  • goal Manu Silva 62'
  • yellowcard Andre Andre 72'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Lawal 82'
  • yellowcard Tomas Ribeiro 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 15, 2024 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Alvaro Pacheco 32' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 45' goal
  • Andre Silva 64' goal
  • goal Jason 8'
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 31'
  • yellowcard Jason 40'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 90'+3'