Primeira Liga
Guimaraes
Aug 8, 2026 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca
  • Matija Mitrovic 90'+6' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Iván Barbero 53'
  • yellowcard Hyun-ju Lee 64'
  • yellowcard Diogo Monteiro 90'
  • yellowcard Orest Lebedenko 90'+2'
  • redcard Diogo Monteiro 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ignacio de Arruabarrena 90'+4'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Guimaraes

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
Arouca 3 - 1 Tondela

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-2 (5.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 52.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 22.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Arouca 24.85% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.3% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 20.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 58.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 41.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.03%
Under 3.5 62.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 23.5%
Under 4.5 76.5%

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 34.49% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 48.06% ▼ (-0.08)
Arouca 17.45% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 60.26% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 5.77%
Arouca 33.97% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 29.8%
Over 9 46.12%
Equal 9 12.18%
Under 9 41.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 34.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 65.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 52.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 47.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 26.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 73.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.41%
Under 3.5 88.59%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 60.66%
Under 0.5 39.34%
Over 1.5 30.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.82%
Under 3.5 95.18%

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 52.12%
Draw 23%
Arouca 24.85%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 5.49%
3-0 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 11.05%
Total : 52.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.85%
0-0 @ 5.77%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23%
Arouca
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-1 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 24.85%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Arouca
Feb 7, 2026 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Guimaraes
  • Alfonso Trezza 45'+1' goal
  • Barbero 56' goal
  • Iván Barbero 56' goal
  • Hyun-ju Lee 74' goal
  • Dylan Nandin 78' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nandín 78' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gozalbez 84' yellowcard
  • Brian Mansilla 84' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gozálbez 84' yellowcard
  • Miguel Puche 89' yellowcard
  • Yellu Santiago 89' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Jose Saviolo 26'
  • goal Oumar Camara 30'
  • yellowcard Matija Mitrovic 46'
  • yellowcard Gustavo 66'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Silva 66'
  • yellowcard Telmo Arcanjo 78'
  • yellowcard Fabio Blanco Gomez 78'
  • yellowcard Fabio Blanco 78'
  • yellowcard Orest Lebedenko 86'
Primeira Liga
Guimaraes
Aug 30, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Arouca
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Guimaraes
Jan 18, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca
  • Dieu-Merci Ndembo-Michel 20' goal
  • Nuno Santos 40' goal
  • Kaio Cesar 45' yellowcard
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 56'
  • goal Chico Faria Camara Lamba 72'
  • yellowcard Weverson 80'
  • yellowcard Nico Mantl 85'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Arouca
Aug 12, 2024 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Guimaraes
  • Weverson 22' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Trezza 43' yellowcard
  • Matias Rocha 47' yellowcard
  • David Simao 62' yellowcard
  • Henrique Araujo 75' yellowcard
  • Jason 76' yellowcard
  • Matias Rocha 81' redcard
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 14'
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 48'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 76'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
Arouca
May 18, 2024 3.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Guimaraes
  • Cristo 39' goal
  • Eboue Kouassi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • David Simao 64' yellowcard
  • Toni Borevkovic 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 33'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 45'+3'
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 50'
  • goal Thiago 53' (OG)
  • goal Manu Silva 62'
  • yellowcard Andre Andre 72'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Lawal 82'
  • yellowcard Tomas Ribeiro 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
Jan 15, 2024 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca
  • Alvaro Pacheco 32' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 45' goal
  • Andre Silva 64' goal
  • goal Jason 8'
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 31'
  • yellowcard Jason 40'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 90'+3'

Form Data

Guimaraes 2 - 0 Chaves
Guimaraes 0 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Guimaraes 3 - 1 Al-Ahli
Guimaraes 0 - 0 Uniao de Leiria
Guimaraes 0 - 0 Academica
Guimaraes 0 - 0 Penafiel
Lusitania FC Lourosa 0 - 0 Arouca
Santa Clara 0 - 0 Arouca
Famalicao 0 - 0 Arouca
Feirense 0 - 0 Arouca
Rio Ave 0 - 0 Arouca
Arouca 3 - 1 Tondela