Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2026 10.30am
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • 9' goal
  • 13' goal
  • 25' goal
  • goal Matheus Gonçalves 47'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 1.00pm
Guimaraes 0 - 0 Uniao de Leiria

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2026 5.00pm
Rio Ave 2 - 2 Al-Ahli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 41.81%
Draw 27.99%
Al-Ahli 30.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.25%
Under 1.5 25.75%
Over 2.5 50.16%
Under 2.5 49.84%
Over 3.5 28.44%
Under 3.5 71.56%
Over 4.5 15.87%
Under 4.5 84.13%

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 25.92%
Draw 44.81%
Al-Ahli 29.27%

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 47.09%
No Goal 8.28%
Al-Ahli 44.63%

Corners

Over 8 57.49%
Equal 8 11.83%
Under 8 30.68%
Over 9 45.45%
Equal 9 12.04%
Under 9 42.51%
Over 10.5 34.25%
Under 10.5 65.75%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 41.21%
Under 1.5 58.79%
Over 2.5 17.79%
Under 2.5 82.21%
Over 3.5 6.16%
Under 3.5 93.84%

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 65.84%
Under 0.5 34.16%
Over 1.5 32.05%
Under 1.5 67.95%
Over 2.5 11.86%
Under 2.5 88.14%
Over 3.5 3.8%
Under 3.5 96.2%

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 41.81%
Draw 27.98%
Al-Ahli 30.19%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 6.01%
Total : 41.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 27.98%
Al-Ahli
0-1 @ 7.87%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 30.19%