Club Friendlies 3
Jul 19, 2026 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Nelson Abbey 75' goal
  • 89' goal
  • goal Firas Al-Buraikan 3'
  • goal Matheus Gonçalves 6'

Rio Ave vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 1.00pm
Portimonense 0 - 3 Rio Ave

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 4.00pm
Holstein Kiel 4 - 1 Al-Ahli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Rio Ave 27.1% ▼ (-0.24)
Draw 25.24% ▲ (+0.39)
Al-Ahli 47.66% ▼ (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.23% ▼ (-0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.69% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 1.5 23.31% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 2.5 54.72% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 2.5 45.28% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 3.5 32.63% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 67.37% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 4.5 19.6% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 4.5 80.4% ▲ (+0.44)

First Half Winner

Rio Ave 21.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 42.06% ▼ (-0.10)
Al-Ahli 36.51% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Rio Ave 36.12% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 7.14% ▲ (+0.31)
Al-Ahli 56.74% ▼ (-0.20)

Corners

Over 8 61.98% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 8 10.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 27.3% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 9 50.71% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 38.02% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 10.5 39.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 60.21% ▲ (+0.08)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 1.5 30.64% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 69.36% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 2.5 11.84% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 2.5 88.16% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 3.5 3.45% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.55% ▲ (+0.10)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 77.37% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 22.63% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 47.82% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 52.18% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 2.5 23.22% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 76.78% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 9.72% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 90.28% ▲ (+0.25)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 27.09%
Draw 25.24%
Al-Ahli 47.65%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 27.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.24%
Al-Ahli
0-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.18)
1-2 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.26)
Total : 47.65%