Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 (6.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.