AFC Champions League
Apr 25, 2026 5.15pm
1
0
ET Alinma Stadium
  • Firas Al-Buraikan 62' yellowcard
  • Firas Al-Buraikan 96' goal
  • Mohammed Sulaiman 111' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Sulaiman 112' yellowcard
  • Ziyad Al-Johani 113' yellowcard
  • Ziyad Al-Johani 114' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Mathias 120'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sang-ho Na 62'
  • yellowcard Hokuto Shimoda 89'
  • yellowcard Shota Fujio 89'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Drešević 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Henry Heroki Mochizuki 99'
  • yellowcard Keiya Sento 105'
  • yellowcard Keiya Sento 106'

Al-Ahli vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions

Machida Zelvia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.61% and a win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Machida Zelvia win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.

Result

Al-Ahli 56.69% (-0.04)
Draw 24.61%
Machida Zelvia 18.7% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.7% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.45% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.55% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 45.82%
Under 2.5 54.15%
Over 3.5 24.72%
Under 3.5 75.28%
Over 4.5 14.36% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.64% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Al-Ahli 37.2%
Draw 42.5%
Machida Zelvia 20.3%

Team To Score First

Al-Ahli 56.45%
No Goal 8.27%
Machida Zelvia 35.28%

Corners

Over 8 46.52%
Equal 8 11.95%
Under 8 41.53%
Over 9 35.36%
Equal 9 11.15%
Under 9 53.48%
Over 10.5 25.78%
Under 10.5 74.22%

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 1.5 48.99% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.01% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.17% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.83% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.83% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.17% (+0.02)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 52% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 48% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 19.4% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 80.6% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 5.17% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.83% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.36%
Under 3.5 98.64%

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 56.68%
Draw 24.61%
Machida Zelvia 18.68%
Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 13.6% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.2% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 2.52%
Other @ 8.74% (-0.01)
Total : 56.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 24.61%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 6.65%
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.3% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 18.68%