Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.61% and a win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Machida Zelvia win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.