AFC Champions League
Apr 25, 2026 5.15pm
Alinma Stadium

Al-Ahli vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions

Machida Zelvia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw has a probability of 24.61% and a win for Machida Zelvia has a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.5%) , while for a Machida Zelvia win it is 0-1 (6.65%).

Result

Al-Ahli 56.73% (+0.04)
Draw 24.61%
Machida Zelvia 18.66% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.67% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.49% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.51% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.82% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.15%
Over 3.5 24.72% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 75.28% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.37% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.63% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Al-Ahli 37.2%
Draw 42.5%
Machida Zelvia 20.3%

Team To Score First

Al-Ahli 56.45%
No Goal 8.27%
Machida Zelvia 35.28%

Corners

Over 8 46.52%
Equal 8 11.95%
Under 8 41.53%
Over 9 35.36%
Equal 9 11.15%
Under 9 53.48%
Over 10.5 25.78%
Under 10.5 74.22%

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 1.5 49.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.97% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.19% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.81% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 8.84%
Under 3.5 91.16%

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 52.01%
Under 0.5 47.99%
Over 1.5 19.39% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.61% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 94.84% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.36% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.64% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 56.73%
Draw 24.62%
Machida Zelvia 18.67%
Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 13.61% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.21% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 2.52%
Other @ 8.75%
Total : 56.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 24.62%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 6.65%
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Total : 18.67%