Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.62%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%) , while for a Al Fayha win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.