Saudi Pro League Gameweek 24
Feb 26, 2026 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
  • Faisal Al-Sobhi 12' yellowcard
  • Sulaiman Hazazi 81' yellowcard
  • Sultan Harun 81' yellowcard
  • Ammar Al-Harfi 88' yellowcard
  • Khalil Al-Absi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayan Hamed 62'
  • yellowcard Saleh Abu Al-Shamat 72'
  • yellowcard Firas Al-Buraikan 73'
  • goal Milan Borjan  75' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ali Majrashi 90'+4'

Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 7.00pm
Al Shabab 3 - 1 Al Riyadh
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Toze

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 7.00pm
Damac 0 - 1 Al-Ahli
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.02% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 9.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.94%) and 0-3 (10.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%) , while for a Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Al Riyadh 9.33% (+0.12)
Draw 16.02% (+0.09)
Al-Ahli 74.64% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.41% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.02% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 20.98% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 56.05% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 43.95% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 33.05% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 66.95% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 22.98% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 77.02% (+0.26)

First Half Winner

Al Riyadh 13.97%
Draw 33.44%
Al-Ahli 52.58%

Team To Score First

Al Riyadh 21.54% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.46% (+0.02)
Al-Ahli 73% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.26% (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.27% (-0.01)
Under 8 34.46% (+0.08)
Over 9 43.08% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.18% (-0.01)
Under 9 45.74% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 32.85% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 67.15% (+0.06)

Al Riyadh Goals

Over 1.5 11.06% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 88.94% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 2.02% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 97.98% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 0.38% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.62% (+0.02)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 88.71% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 11.29% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 66.42% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 33.58% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 39.5% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 60.5% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 19.57% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 80.43% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Al Riyadh 9.31%
Draw 16.03%
Al-Ahli 74.64%
Al Riyadh
1-0 @ 3.56% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 1.65% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.37% (-0.02)
Total : 9.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.46% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.46% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.87% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 16.03%
Al-Ahli
0-2 @ 13.87% (+0.21)
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 10.88% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.57% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 6.62% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 19.56% (-0.20)
Total : 74.64%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Oct 30, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 34
May 26, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
  • Ahmed Assiri 24' yellowcard
  • Faiz Selemani 49' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Toney 16'
  • yellowcard Saad Yaslam 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Firas Albirakan 53'
  • yellowcard Merih Demiral 60'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 17
Jan 26, 2025 3.45pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Ivan Toney 4' goal
  • Merih Demiral 49' yellowcard
  • Ali Majrashi 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Ziyad Al-Johani 60' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 63' goal
  • Ivan Toney 72' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 88' goal
  • yellowcard Yahya Al-Shehri 50'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 29
Apr 25, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
  • Birama Toure 43' goal
  • Hussain Al-Nowaiqi 47' yellowcard
  • Abdulhadi Al-Harajin 84' goal
  • Didier N'Dong 89' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Assiri 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Merih Demiral 40'
  • yellowcard Ibanez 51'
  • goal Franck Kessie 45'+10'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Firas Albirakan 2' goal
  • Gabri Veiga 26' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 52' goal