Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.97% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 11.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%) , while for a Al Fayha win it was 1-0 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.