Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEOM SC win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Al Fayha had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Al Fayha win was 1-2 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.