Saudi Pro League Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Awwal Park

Al-Nassr vs NEOM SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.00pm
Al Fayha 1 - 3 Al-Nassr
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

NEOM SC

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.00pm
NEOM SC 1 - 2 Al Kholood
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Alexandre Lacazette

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw has a probability of 20.1% and a win for NEOM SC has a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.09%) , while for a NEOM SC win it is 1-2 (4.19%).

Result

Al-Nassr 64.52% (+0.01)
Draw 20.1%
NEOM SC 15.38% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.2% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 17.8% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 61.41% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 38.59%
Over 3.5 39.34% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 60.66% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 26.29% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 73.71% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Al-Nassr 42.02%
Draw 37.05%
NEOM SC 20.93%

Team To Score First

Al-Nassr 61.15%
No Goal 4.55%
NEOM SC 34.3%

Corners

Over 8 51.25%
Equal 8 10.9%
Under 8 37.85%
Over 9 40.66%
Equal 9 10.58%
Under 9 48.75%
Over 10.5 31.15%
Under 10.5 68.85%

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 1.5 63.08% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 36.92% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 36.97% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 63.03% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 18.58% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 81.42% (+0.02)

NEOM SC Goals

Over 0.5 50.68% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 49.32% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 21.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.69% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.86% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.14% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.01% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.99% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 64.52%
Draw 20.09%
NEOM SC 15.38%
Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.88% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 9.41%
3-0 @ 7.34% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 18.28% (-0.01)
Total : 64.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.09%
2-2 @ 4.98%
0-0 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.3% (-0.02)
Total : 20.09%
NEOM SC
1-2 @ 4.19% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 3.83%
0-2 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.71% (-0.02)
Total : 15.38%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Nov 8, 2025 1.50pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT