Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEOM SC win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Al Kholood had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Al Kholood win was 1-2 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.