Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.92% and a win for Damac had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.07%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%) , while for a Damac win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.