Saudi Pro League Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2026 7.00pm
Alinma Stadium

Al-Ahli vs Al Ittihad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 7.00pm
Al Riyadh 0 - 1 Al-Ahli
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.00pm
Al Ittihad 1 - 0 Al Khaleej
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Roger Fernandes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 56.96%. A win for Al Ittihad has a probability of 21.9% and a draw has a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win is 1-2 (5.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.16%).

Result

Al-Ahli 56.96% (-0.44)
Draw 21.14% (+0.36)
Al Ittihad 21.9% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.2% (-1.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.37% (-1.13)
Under 1.5 15.63% (+1.14)
Over 2.5 65.02% (-1.72)
Under 2.5 34.98% (+1.71)
Over 3.5 42.71% (-1.00)
Under 3.5 57.29% (+1.00)
Over 4.5 27.71% (-0.86)
Under 4.5 72.29% (+0.86)

First Half Winner

Al-Ahli 39.77% (-0.49)
Draw 36.37% (+0.48)
Al Ittihad 23.86% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Al-Ahli 58.42% (-0.93)
No Goal 3.84% (+0.35)
Al Ittihad 37.74% (+0.58)

Corners

Over 8 54.78% (-0.68)
Equal 8 11.3% (-0.15)
Under 8 33.92% (+0.83)
Over 9 43.53% (-0.48)
Equal 9 11.25% (-0.22)
Under 9 45.22% (+0.68)
Over 10.5 33.2% (-0.26)
Under 10.5 66.8% (+0.26)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 1.5 59.79% (-1.03)
Under 1.5 40.21% (+1.03)
Over 2.5 33.83% (-1.03)
Under 2.5 66.17% (+1.02)
Over 3.5 15.97% (-0.64)
Under 3.5 84.03% (+0.63)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 59.75% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 40.25% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 30.13% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 69.87% (+0.56)
Over 2.5 11.34% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 88.66% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 3.8% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 96.2% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 56.96%
Draw 21.14%
Al Ittihad 21.9%
Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.17)
1-0 @ 7.69% (+0.44)
2-0 @ 7.5% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 4.19% (-0.11)
Other @ 15.69% (-0.66)
Total : 56.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.16% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 3.84% (+0.35)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.03)
Total : 21.14%
Al Ittihad
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.23)
0-1 @ 4.1% (+0.34)
0-2 @ 2.69% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.38% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.3% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.17)
Other @ 3.52% (-0.09)
Total : 21.9%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Nov 8, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 26
Apr 5, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Ibanez 14' yellowcard
  • Galeno 44' yellowcard
  • Ivan Toney 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ibanez 51' goal
  • Ivan Toney 82' goal
  • Gabri Veiga 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabinho 72'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 74'
  • yellowcard Saleh Al-Shehri 81'
  • goal Karim Benzema 90'+4'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 9
Oct 31, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Saleh Al-Shehri 42' goal
  • Abdulelah Al Amri 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Asmari 64'
  • yellowcard Ibanez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 90'+4'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
  • Ali Al-Asmari 6' yellowcard
  • Firas Albirakan 34' goal
  • Ali Majrashi 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saleh Al-Amri 79'
  • yellowcard Fawaz Al-Sagour 90'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2023 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Fabinho 35' yellowcard
  • Igor Coronado 75' yellowcard
  • goal Franck Kessie 31'
  • yellowcard Matthias Jaissle 36'
  • yellowcard Edouard Mendy 61'
  • yellowcard Riyad Mahrez 70'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 86'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Aljohani 90'+3'