Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Riyadh win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Damac had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Riyadh win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Damac win was 1-0 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.