Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Quadisiya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.