Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 1-2 (5.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.