Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 52.27%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (6.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.