Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shamal win with a probability of 52.62%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Shamal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 2-1 (5.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.