Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shamal win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Shamal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 2-1 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.