Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 38.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Arabi win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 2-1 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%).