Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shahaniya win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Shahaniya win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.