Qatar Stars League Gameweek 19
Mar 18, 2026 6.30pm
Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium

Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 6.30pm
Qatar SC 2 - 0 Al Gharafa
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jamal Hamed

Al Ahli

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 6.30pm
Al Ahli 1 - 1 Al Arabi
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Sekou Oumar Yansane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Al Ahli has a probability of 33.56% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Gharafa win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Al Ahli win is 1-2 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.07%).

Result

Al Gharafa 41.84% (+0.06)
Draw 24.6%
Al Ahli 33.56% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.76%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.89% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 19.11% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 59.24%
Under 2.5 40.76%
Over 3.5 36.78% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 63.22% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 21.81% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 78.19% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Al Gharafa 32.54%
Draw 40.43%
Al Ahli 27.03%

Team To Score First

Al Gharafa 49.45% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.08% (-0.01)
Al Ahli 45.47%

Corners

Over 8 51.87% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.97%
Under 8 36.16% (-0.02)
Over 9 40.22%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 48.13% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 29.82%
Under 10.5 70.18%

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 1.5 45.78% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 54.22% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 21.39% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 78.61% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.14% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.86% (-0.04)

Al Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 70.28% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.72% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 38.99% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.01% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.54% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.46% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.77%
Under 3.5 94.23%

Score analysis

Al Gharafa 41.84%
Draw 24.6%
Al Ahli 33.57%
Al Gharafa
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.59% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.9% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.81% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.84% (+0.04)
Total : 41.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.45% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.6%
Al Ahli
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.47%
Total : 33.57%

Head to Head

Qatar Stars League
Oct 25, 2025 3.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 13
Jan 22, 2025 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Thani Bin Jassim Stadium
  • Rodrigo 35' goal
  • Ferjani Sassi 56' goal
  • Assim Madibo 81' yellowcard
  • Seydou Sano 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Driss Fettouhi 81'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2024 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
  • Sekou Yansane 16' goal
  • Igor Biscan 34' yellowcard
  • Islam Yassine 40' yellowcard
  • Bahaa Ellithi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Sekou Yansane 55' yellowcard
  • Marwan Badreldin 85' yellowcard
  • Julian Draxler 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Seydou Sano 33'
  • yellowcard Rabh Boussafi 52'
  • yellowcard Joselu 90'+5'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 14
Feb 24, 2024 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Grand Hamad Stadium
  • Pedro Martins 5' yellowcard
  • Saifeldeen Fadlalla 12' yellowcard
  • Seydou Sano 22' redcard
  • Ahmed Alaaeldin 45'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Abubakar Mohammed Bayomi 4'
  • goal Julian Draxler 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Julian Draxler 90'+4'
  • goal Idrissa Doumbia 90'+12'
  • yellowcard Navid Dorzadeh 90'+12'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2023 4.15pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Al Thumama Stadium
  • Ahmad Al Sebai 4' yellowcard
  • Nebojsa Jovovic 5' yellowcard
  • Naim Sliti 14' goal
  • Jassem Mohammed Al Sharshani 21' yellowcard
  • Ali Qadry 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Doumbia 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ahmed Alganehi 27'
  • yellowcard Nasser Al-Ahrak 38'
  • goal Yacine Brahimi 61'
  • goal Yacine Brahimi 72'
  • yellowcard Yacine Brahimi 90'+6'
  • goal Farid Boulaya 90'+11'