Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar SC win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.52%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.