Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 52.46%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 1-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (6.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.