Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.23% and a win for Al Ahli had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%) , while for a Al Ahli win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.