Qatar Stars League Gameweek 16
Feb 22, 2026 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
  • Tiago Silva 46' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Surag 46' yellowcard
  • Amid Mahajna 46' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Saleh 65' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Alaaeldin 76' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Mitrović 82' goal
  • Rodrigo 90' goal
  • goal Erik Expósito 29'
  • yellowcard Hilal Mohammed 66'
  • yellowcard Khalid Mohammed 72'
  • yellowcard Younis Abdelrahman 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Amidou Doumbouya 90'+5'

Al-Rayyan vs Al Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Rayyan

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 4.45pm
Qatar SC 3 - 3 Al-Rayyan
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Roger Guedes

Al Ahli

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 2.45pm
Al Wakrah 3 - 2 Al Ahli
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Driss Fettouhi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.23% and a win for Al Ahli had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%) , while for a Al Ahli win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Al-Rayyan 61.75% (+0.36)
Draw 20.23% (-0.15)
Al Ahli 17.98% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.24% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.54% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 15.46% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 65.21% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 34.79% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 43.51% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 56.49% (-0.65)
Over 4.5 28.92% (+0.49)
Under 4.5 71.08% (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Al-Rayyan 46.31%
Draw 34.42%
Al Ahli 19.27%

Team To Score First

Al-Rayyan 67.02% (+0.07)
No Goal 3.93% (-0.11)
Al Ahli 29.05% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.42% (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.96% (-0.01)
Under 8 33.62% (+0.15)
Over 9 42.55% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.87% (-0.04)
Under 9 45.58% (+0.13)
Over 10.5 31.75% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 68.25% (+0.07)

Al-Rayyan Goals

Over 1.5 63.39% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 36.61% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 38.09% (+0.64)
Under 2.5 61.91% (-0.64)
Over 3.5 18.79% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 81.21% (-0.35)

Al Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 54.98% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 45.02% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 25.79% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 74.21% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 9.01% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.99% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.74% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.26% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Al-Rayyan 61.75%
Draw 20.22%
Al Ahli 17.97%
Al-Rayyan
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 8.26% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.07% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 6.51% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.14% (+0.09)
Other @ 18.55% (+0.33)
Total : 61.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.02)
Total : 20.22%
Al Ahli
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.16)
0-1 @ 3.76% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.91% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 17.97%

Head to Head

Qatar Stars League
Sep 21, 2025 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 19
Mar 29, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al Thumama Stadium
  • Bahaa Ellithi 8' yellowcard
  • Julian Draxler 36' yellowcard
  • Erik Exposito 53' goal
  • Yazan Naim Hussein 69' yellowcard
  • Driss Fettouhi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julien De Sart 18'
  • redcard Julien De Sart 72'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
  • Roger Guedes 28' goal
  • Andre Amaro 40' yellowcard
  • David Garcia 45' yellowcard
  • Roger Guedes 65' goal
  • goal Sekou Yansane 3'
  • goal Erik Exposito 37'
  • yellowcard Talal Abdulla Bahzad 71'
  • yellowcard Driss Fettouhi 90'+1'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 21
Apr 24, 2024 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
  • Moameen Mutasem 19' yellowcard
  • Shogo Taniguchi 23' goal
  • Roger Guedes 85' goal
  • Rodrigo 88' goal
  • Achraf Bencharki 90'+11' goal
  • goal Naim Sliti 11'
  • yellowcard Navid Dorzadeh 68'
  • yellowcard Naim Sliti 77'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 10
Dec 2, 2023 4.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
  • Mohammed Emad 10' yellowcard
  • Pepa 11' yellowcard
  • Ali Qadry 23' yellowcard
  • Abdulrasheed Umaru 54' redcard
  • Sekou Yansane 83' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo 4'
  • yellowcard Osamah Al-Tairi 60'
  • goal Roger Guedes 65'
  • goal Achraf Bencharki 69'
  • goal Roger Guedes 85'