Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Shorta win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Shorta win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.