Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Shorta win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Nasaf had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Shorta win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Nasaf win was 1-0 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.