Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radnicki Kragujevac win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.73% and a win for Nasaf had a probability of 19.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radnicki Kragujevac win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.04%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%) , while for a Nasaf win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.