Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 45.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.18% and a win for Nasaf had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%) , while for a Nasaf win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.