Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for OFK Beograd had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest OFK Beograd win was 0-1 (9.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.