Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Sadd win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 2-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.