Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Al Wakrah had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Sadd win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.28%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Al Wakrah win was 2-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.