Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tractor Sazi win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tractor Sazi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 0-1 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.