Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Duhail win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-0 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.